·AI服务器需求增量来源：2026年上半年CPU需求将实现30%的增量，该增量主要由两部分构成：a. 约15%-20%的需求来自商用处理器迭代，系5年前投入使用的商用处理器进入更新周期，覆盖使用强度高、具备升级实力的客户群体；b. 剩余10%的需求来自头部AI服务器客户对新架构、新部署方式的需求。2026年下半年CPU需求则以通用型服务器常规迭代为主，无明显爆发性新增需求支撑。

有媒体援引KeyBanc数据称，由于超大规模云服务商“扫货”，英特尔与AMD方面2026年的服务器CPU产能已基本售罄。为了应对供需极端失衡并确保后续供应稳定，两家公司均计划将服务器CPU价格上调10%-15%。

赢家与输家：销售图表长期以来都显示，AMD正在稳步蚕食英特尔的CPU市场份额。然而，最近的分析表明，苹果向自研Arm架构处理器的转型加剧了这一趋势，这家库比蒂诺巨头的笔记本电脑CPU如今的销量几乎与英特尔的产品不相上下。

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